The market is an ever-changing entity, each day presenting us with
different and unique scenarios with no two days every the same.
Nevertheless, the market is more or less a reflection of people's ideas
and attitudes and while it is also true that no two people are alike,
each and every one of us has something in common with someone else,
whether it be the way we get out of bed in the morning or the foods we
prefer to eat. Additionally, we tend to repeat actions such as
preferring to brush our teeth at a certain time of day or making sure
we try to catch the Thursday night prime time television shows. No
matter which angle you look at it from, humans are creatures of habit
and this tendency gets reflected in stock movement. It's what makes
technical analysis a reliable and profitable way to trade.
Unfortunately, technical analysis
is not always cut and dry. The same core pattern does not work the same
in every market environment. For instance, one of the setups I often
look for on a daily chart is a 3-5 day pullback in an uptrending stock
for buying opportunities. Where newer traders tend to get in trouble,
however, is taking such a setup to mean that every time an uptrending
stock pulls back 3-5 days and then breaks the previous day's highs that
that means they enter long. In reality, there are always exceptions and
it's learning what these are that can be the dividing line between
those traders who are successful and those who fail. In this example,
how a stocks pulls back in a primary uptrend as well as overall market
conditions will greatly influence whether taking such a pullback as a
long is really worth the risk to reward. In some cases it is not.
The ability to adjust to changing
market circumstances is just one of the traits of a successful trader.
In truth though, there are quite a few. Something that I've found
helpful is taking the time to look at other successful traders and
trying to identify characteristics that may have contributed to their
success. In addition to being able to adapt there are about 8 more
things I have observed which include the following:
1. They stay neutral;
2. They have a business plan;
3. They keep a journal;
4. They focus on 1 to 3 techniques that suit them well;
5. They are great money managers;
6. They are comfortable with risk and uncertainty;
7. They accept personal responsibility for all of their trading action;
8. They use risk capital to trade.
1. Staying Neutral
You're probably wondering away
just what do I mean by that? You know the guys you see where if they
take a loss of $100 the whole world sucks and if they make $1000 they
are on top of the world? Well, they definitely are not neutral. They
let the market control their emotions. The professionals don't let the
day to day oscillations in their accounts phase them. The results in
one week don't matter much, and the results even in a month. It's just
a small blip of time in their career, so the day to day oscillations
don't really matter. It's the average over time which is important.
With great traders, it's hard to tell their good days from their bad
days as their attitude remains for the most part unchanged. They don't
go touting to every message board and chatroom they can find how they
just doubled their account and should be worshipped for their success.
Nor do they whine about how the market makers or specialists have it
out for them and they can never catch a break. While no one is a robot,
completely devoid of emotional response, successful traders generally
have learned to control the swings, thus leading to more objective
trading.
2. Have a Business Plan
Next, successful traders have a
business plan. Trading is a business and it should be treated as such.
Would you open a restaurant with out a plan? No, or at least I hope you
wouldn't or you're not liable to get very far. Restaurant owners need
to have a plan. What type of food to serve, start up costs, hours, etc.
are just a few of the questions they must address from the start.
Trading should be looked at in much the same way. Trading is also a
business and you need a plan. In your business plan you should list any
number of things:
When you will work?
What techniques you will focus on?
What your expenses will be?
What is your max. loss?
What are your objectives?etc...
Make it as comprehensive as possible. It will help you out more than
you might think.
3. Keep a Journal
So many times I will call a person
that tells me they have been having a hard time and one of the first
questions I ask them is" What have you been trading?" If they can't
tell me that, it's hard to move forward. It's hard for me and it's hard
for them. Keep a journal of all the trades you take. Include the time
you got in, out, the prices, why you took the trade, what was going on
in the market, how did the stock act, what did you do well, what could
you have done better, etc... It seems like a lot but once you get into
it, it's really very easy and just becomes second nature. Read this a
few times a month and just look at what you are doing and have been
doing. It will really key you in on your weak areas. It let's you know
what you need to work on and, just as importantly, it will let you know
what you are good at. So, keep a journal.
4. Focus on 1-3
Techniques that Work Well
Another trait of great traders is
that they usually focus on just a few techniques, usually 1 to 3.
The reason for this is simple: The jack of all trades, master of none
is usually a low paid unskilled worker. Put another way, examine
college students. What kind of people major in general studies? Unless
they go on to focus on a specific occupation in graduate school or law
school, etc., well-paying jobs will be hard to find for most upon
graduation. Instead, for those who focus their studies in one field,
and more specially, one subdivision of that field, demand for their
skills will be much higher. If you focus on just a few techniques, it
allows you to really become an expert on the technique you are using.
Great traders have one to three things that work and they use them over
and over and over and over again for as long as they are profitable.
5. Being a Great Money
Manager
Great traders are also great risk
managers. They respect the risks they are taking and on each trade they
risk a small amount of capital. Usually this is 1/4% to 1% per position
(and no more than 2%). The idea is that you can't trade tomorrow if you
blow out today and if you can't trade you won't be a great trader now
will you? Great traders protect their accounts. It's their baby. Each
position is so small they don't really give a damn what happens with
it. It's just a nick... win, lose, or draw. So, if they have a 200K
account and are risking 1/4% on each trade, that means if they take a
stop they are out $500. That's a very small amount of money compared to
the account. It doesn't matter too much if they take a stop. One or
even a series of stops won't be the end of their career.
Now, not all traders have this
large of an account, but the basic principal is the same no matter what
size of account you have. Mathematically speaking, 2% is the most you
can risk and still be able to survive the strings of stops that can and
often will occur on occasion. So if you have a 25K account and you risk
2%, you can also risk $500 a trade. Once your account is larger,
however, it is advisable to risk less and with experience, you can also
learn which types of situations can allow for greater risk compared to
others.
6. Being Comfortable
with Risk and Uncertainty
The sixth trait of great traders
is that they are comfortable with risk. Let's face it, trading is
certainly risky and if you are afraid of the risk you won't last. If
you are afraid you will lose money, then I can almost say with
certainty that you will. They are comfortable trading a pattern that is
not a 100% sure thing because none of them are. They go into an
individual trade not knowing what the end result will be. Many new
traders have a terrible time with this: the uncertainty of a trade, but
you must over come it. Many new traders allow themselves to be frozen
with fear over the risks and uncertainties of trading. Great traders
get beyond it.
7. Accepting Personal
Responsibility
Great traders accept personal
responsibility for everything they do, even to an extreme. If I loan
you $100 and you never pay me back, yes you're a jerk, but I'm also an
idiot because there is something I should've been able to pick up and
if I didn't know you well enough, I shouldn't have loaned you money. I
loaned the money. I made a choice and now I am paying for it, so it's
on me. The same deal goes in a trade. I don't care who may have told
you ABC or whatever was a great buy, whether you heard it in a
chatroom, message board, the Wall Street Journal, CNBC or just from
your local mailman. No one holds a gun to your head while you are
trading, telling you what you have to take or not take. You're the one
pulling the trigger. Great traders know that all trades they take, good
or bad, it's on them.
8. Using Risk Capital
to Trade
Finally, great traders use risk
capital. This should be obvious. They trade with money they can lose.
So, if I had a 150K trading account and tomorrow I do something where I
completely mess up and I loose it all, of course I won't be happy, but
I won't be on food stamps either. It's not all the money I have in the
world. This frees your mind up. It lets you trade and not worry. You
just focus on trading correctly. They say scared money never wins,
well, I have yet to see a person who had no other job or source of
income, thus needing to live off their 5K trading account,make it...
sorry. So trade with risk capital, not student loan money, not the
rent, not the food... You get the picture. It makes life easier.
My hope today is that by reading
through some of these characteristics, you can help keep yourself on
track for success. It is said that the majority of successful people in
the world became such by following in the footsteps of others, their
mentors. Even if you do not have one specific person in mind,
familiarizing oneself with the traits of those how have succeeding
before you is a rewarding experience.