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Toni
Hansen's Interactive
CD series:
- 5 Technical Signals You Should
NOT Trade Without
- Trading Market Simple: No Indicators Necessary!
-Toni Hansen's Quick Reference Guide to Successful Market Timing
All for the unbeatable price of $279!
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Earnings Preview:
Names expected to report this week include:
Monday, September
22, 2008
Before:
AZO, KMX, NSSC (?)
After: COMS
Tuesday, September
23, 2008
Before:
FDS, LEN
After: FUL,
WOR
Wednesday, September
24, 2008
Before: NEOG, OHB (?)
After: BBBY,
NKE, PAYX, RHT
Thursday, September
25, 2008
Before:
ALOG, CHTT (?), CRAI, DFS, MKC, RAD,
SCHL, MTN
After: ACN, CBK, CPRT (?), DMND, FINL (?), INTV (?), RIMM, SMOD, SNX,
TIBX
Friday,
September 26, 2008
Before:
AM, AZZ, HMX (?), JBL, JBH
Note: All economic numbers
and earnings reports are in line with those compiled by Briefing.com.
Occasionally changes will occur that are made after the posting of this
column and some companies have not confirmed their time, so always
double
check when taking positions overnight during earnings season! (?) = Not
yet confirmed at the time the list was compiled.
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Abiomed
(Nasdaq:ABMD) develops devices to assist or replace the pumping
function of the heart during high risk surgery. Recently its 2.5Liter
Impella device received FDA approval. So far the PROTECT II Clinical
trials are showing the 2.5 Liter product to have excellent results, and
the feeling is that the Impella device will become the new standard,
taking over from the 1.5 Liter products currently on the market, in its
niche.
Whenever you get a smallish company who releases a product with a
potentially massive market that takes over that market, the impact can
be huge. Abiomed has had the same management team in place for some
time, and they have continued to follow their game plan with good
effect.
Technically speaking the chart looks very good. When we are looking for
stocks we start off by sorting for relative strength leaders. This
simply means we want to find a stock that do not show as much of a
decline as the average stock in the market during periods of market weakness. This shows a degree of buying interest
and strength in the stock, and very often when the market recovers,
stocks that “held up” during the decline are the leaders when the
market recovers. As you can see with ABMD when the market pulled back
last week, it was a stock that held up relatively well.
Overall the weekly chart remains in a nice, strong, uptrend, making
higher highs and higher lows. Since its peak in late July AMBD has
pulled back in a nice and orderly manner, forming a clear bullflag
pattern. This pullback has brought AMBD to an area of both moving
average and price support. Charts that have multiple forms of support
often see the strongest bounces. We will be looking to buy shares of
AMBD on a close above $19.00 per share.
- Brandon Fredrickson & Toni Hansen
Watch List - New
Additions:
Long: SMCI, BSX, LPNT, MKC, BF.B
Brandon Fredickson's Blog: http://p5equities.blogspot.com/
Toni Hansen's Blog: http://www.tonihansen.com/blog
Updates on Open Positions
View
here for a complete track record since Dec. 2002.*
Positions in green
have triggered and are profitable. Positions in red have triggered but
are not yet profitable. Those in blue
have not yet triggered.
NOTE: A lot of positions were closed this
past week with trailing stops and exits under support levels. Those
that were closed are now located in the larger record.
Watch Stocks:
Long: Most of these
will be more ideal after congestion on a weekly time frame: ALTR,
ABT, MAT, ABI,
JNPR, JNJ, ISRG, GPS, PM, AEP (swing, potential position trade)
Short: ADSK
Remove
from watch : PM
9/15/2008 Hey gang! I
don't have a new focus stock for this week since a lot of the stocks I
am watching I feel are a bit premature for a setup at this point. I
have added Autodesk
(ADSK), however, to my short watch list. It is forming a
descending triangle on a monthly time frame and could easily shape up
over the next couple of months for a breakdown if the momentum shifts
on the upside compared to downside with a corresponding drop in volume
on a weekly time frame.
On a shorter time frame, American Elec. Pwr
Inc. (AEP) is of interest for a swingtrade to weekly position
trade (buy setup). It has formed a momentum reversal buy setup on a
weekly chart.
It began to break higher on Friday and has room to continue easily into
$41 on a daily chart and about $44 on a weekly.
Expect a higher level of market activity this week as a result of the
continued shake-up in the financials. Be sure to use extreme caution if
you feel the need to participate in this particular sector at this time.
9/8/2008
Intuit, Inc. (INTU) was
trading in narrowing triangle from 1999-2005. At the end of
2005 it broke free from the triangle and rallied throughout 2006. Since
the end of 2006, however, it has been correcting once again. It
completed the second wave of a correction early this year and has been
making its way back to the upper end of the corrective channel. A break
from this channel will trigger a buy on the monthly time frame. The
last low within the channel will serve as support. Initial target zone
of $40. INTU offered an intraday setup in the $30.50 zone on 9/18/2008.
9/8/2008 Kraft Foods Inc.
(KFT) gave an initial watch list buy setup on 9/8/2008 over
$33.10. This may still rest longer on a weekly time frame, however,
before momentum increases. It has hit a high so far of $34.97 (+$1.87, +5.65%).
9/8/2008
Allergan Inc. (AGN) gave
an initial watch list buy setup on 9/11/2008 at $57.04.
It has hit a high so far of $61.72 (+$4.68, +8.2%).
8/25/2008
Vulcan Matls Co.
(VMC) Initial watch setup on
9/17/2008 over $72.47. Highs of $100.25 hit.
8/25/2008
Convergys
Corporation (CVG) The next major resistance zone is
$17-$18 a share, which will serve as the initial target level. If the
momentum is strong into that target, then shares can easily land in the
$24 zone over the next year. $11.50 is support in the
zone of the July low. CVG gave an initial buy trigger on 8/27/2008 over
$14.56. It has highs of $17.00 (+$2.44, +16.76%). First resistance zone hit.
8/25/2008
Unum Group (UNM) gave
a watch list buy trigger on 8/28/2008 at $24.90. It has highs of $30.00 (+$5.10, +20.48%).
8/25/2008 Medco
Health Solutions Inc. (MHS) gave
a watch list buy setup on 9/8/2008 over $48.72. $44.50 is support. It
has hit highs of $50.88 (+$2.16,
+4.43) so far.
8/18/2008 Altra
Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ: AIMC) Bullish on AIMC if it can
close above $18.25 per share on above average volume... AFAM had much
better traits overall and I was more
aggressive with that position than I will be with this one, which offer
the potential of outsized returns. - Brandon
Fredrickson
8/11/2008 TD Ameritrade
Hldg. Corp. (AMTD) Cup-with-handle on the monthly time frame.
While this
breakout began on a daily time frame several weeks ago, it
is still at an early stage on the monthly time frame, so I will begin
to build a position in this stock. Larger target in the $36.50 zone. It
gave an initial buy trigger on 8/28/2008 over $20.50. It hit highs of $23.48 (+$2.98, 14.54%).
8/4/2008 Hitachi Limited
ADR (HIT). Beginning of position being built from $74.48
zone on 8/8/2008. My target on HIT is
$100-$105. It closed last Friday at $68.39.
Watch Stocks:
Long: Symantec Corp.
(SYMC) gave
an initial higher risk buy trigger on 8/5/2008 over $21.86. It has
highs so
far
of $22.80. It closed on Friday at $20.57.
7/14/2008 Royal Gold, Inc.
(RGLD) Although we missed the initial trigger on this
one about two weeks ago, we still have plenty of room to catch it on
smaller time frame corrections. This monthly triangle has just now
begun to break higher. My target on
RGLD is the $48-50 zone. June's lows will serve as support. Initial
trigger on 9/11/2008 over $28.68. Secondary setup on 9/16/2008 over
$32.46. Highs of $39.48. Initial resistance hit.
6/23/2008
Almost Family
(AFAM) gave
an early buy trigger on 6/26/2008 at $26.60. It has highs so
far
of $44.44 (+$17.84,
+67.07%). Most trailing stops hit. - Brandon
Fredrickson
6/9/2008
Medtronic
Inc. (MDT) gave
a watch list buy trigger on 7/8/2008 over $52.00. It has highs so
far
of $56.97 (+$4.97,
+9.56%).
6/9/2008
Psychiatric
Solutions (PSYS) gave
a swingtrade buy trigger on 6/18/2008 over $37.00. It has highs so
far
of $40.90 (+$3.90, +10.54%).
Position trade potential. This has a higher chance to correct for a few
months, likely in price, before it can have room to break higher again
as a position trade.
6/2/2008
McCormick &
Company, Incorporated (MKC) gave an early buy
setup on
6/5/2008 over $37.73. It does still have potential to pull back a bit
more on the weekly time frame before it can confirm a larger break of
this range. It has highs so far of $42.06 (+$4.33, +11.48%).
6/2/2008 XMSR gave
a short trigger on 6/2/2008 under $10.49. It has lows so
far
of $6.78 (+$3.71, +35.37%).
Targets hit for short term traders.
6/2/2008 Exelon
Corp. (EXC) gave a short
trigger on 6/26/2008 under $89.36 with resistance at $92. It hit lows
of $61.54 (+27.82,
+31.13%).
4/21/2008
Old
Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) gave
a buy trigger on 7/16/2008 at $30.73. It has highs so
far
of $40.09 (+$9.36, +30.46%).
Initial target hit. My target zone is between $42-46.
4/7/2008 Rowan
Companies, Inc (RDC) gave
an initial buy trigger on 4/18/2008 over $41.78. It has highs so
far
of $47.72 (+$5.93, +14.19%).
My initial target is $53. Some
trailing stops hit.
3/3/2008
Universal
Health Services Inc. (UHS) gave
a watch list buy trigger on 3/25/2008 over $51.82. It has highs so
far
of $65.87 (+$14.05, +27.11%).
Some trailing stops hit on shorter term hold. Momo reversal target hit.
Larger weekly correction possible for several months before we see
higher highs.
11/12/2007 Lilly
Eli & Co. (LLY) gave a short setup on 12/31/2007 under
$53.71. It has lows of $43.81 (+$9.90,
+18.43%). Some trailing stops hit.
9/24/2007 Martek Biosciences
Corp. (MATK)
gave an initial buy trigger on 9/24/2007 over $28.84. It has highs so
far
of $38.55 (+$9.71, +33.67%). Some
trailing stops hit. Tight trailing stops hit. Those using 20 month sma
still holding partials.
* DISCLAIMER:
Results are based upon best price hit before the position
was closed, or the stop if that hit first.
Note: Trading in commodities and securities may not be suitable for all
individuals. Consult your broker or other professional to determine
your suitability. The discussions provided by Trading From Main Street
are for educational purposes only and should not be taken as a
recommendation to buy or sell the referenced security. Past performance
is not indicative of future results.
The above disclaimer and copyright is applicable to all material
published on behalf of the Bastiat Group. including, but not limited
to, the Morning Watch and News Letter and Weekly Position TradER.
©
1998-2008 All information presented is property of
TradingFromMainStreet.com
and Bastiat Group, Inc.
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