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Toni
Hansen's Interactive
CD series:
- 5 Technical Signals You Should
NOT Trade Without
- Trading Market Simple: No Indicators Necessary!
-Toni Hansen's Quick Reference Guide to Successful Market Timing
All for the unbeatable price of $279!
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Earnings Preview:
Names expected to report this week include:
Monday, Dec. 10:
Before: IPSU,MTN
After: DMND, FCEL,
HRB, NCS, SAI
Tuesday, Dec. 11:
Before: BKRS, KR, MGAM
After: ABM, COO,
TUTR, VSTA
Wednesday, Dec. 12:
After: ADCT, CKR, CPII,
MATK, NOVL
Thursday, Dec. 13:
Before: AHCI, CIEN, COST,
HSOA, JOSB, LEH, MESA, SMA, TTEC, WGO, ZOLT
During: ASFI, PNY
After: CAO, LEAP,
ZQK, RSTO, RVI, UNCA, PAY
Friday, Dec. 14:
Before: RTK
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IMPORTANCE NOTICE:
In order to
continue to receive this newsletter, please affirm your subscription
through my new list server: AWeber. I am sending out confirmation
emails this weekend. You can also enroll online at http://www.tonihansen.com/longterm-trading.html.
I will soon be discontinuing use of the current mailing list platform
and those whom do not confirm will be automatically removed from this
mailing list when the move is complete. Once the move is complete I
will
also begin adding a video component to this letter as well! I hope you
enjoy!
All my best,
Toni Hansen
Toni's Play
of the Week:
Hospira, Inc. (HSP) engages
in the development, manufacture, and marketing of specialty injectable
pharmaceuticals and medication delivery systems that deliver drugs and
intravenous (I.V.) fluids in the United States and internationally. It
has recently broken higher out of a monthly trading range after two
waves of pullback since 2006 highs and a more narrow range throughout
most of this year in which the monthly pattern was repeated on the
weekly time frame. While the daily is less-than-ideal at this point,
the upside on this is still rather substantial. It has an initial
resistance level between $48-$50 and a larger potential target of $60+,
so I will be building a position in HSP over the next couple of weeks
to months.
Other stocks
to
watch:
Long: TK, FRO (similar pattern as HSP), BCR, GEF, GIB, EWW
To learn more about how I locate and
trade the positions in this
letter, check out my new CD course at http://www.swingtrader.net.
Chart
brought to you
by Real Tick III by Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Updates on Open Positions
CLICK
HERE for a complete track record since Dec. 2002.*
Positions in green
have triggered and are profitable. Positions in red have triggered but
are not yet profitable. Those in blue
have not yet triggered.
12/3/2007 I am very cautious at present in terms of
entering new positions at
this time. Many of them I am watching I expect could take several more
months to develop. One such setup is Ameren Corp.
(AEE). Ameren Corporation, through its subsidiaries,
operates as a public utility holding company in Missouri and
Illinois. It has moved back and forth in a nice trading range on
the weekly and monthly time frames, as well as the daily. While it may
be too early to break strongly on the monthly time frame, it is a
position I expect to increase in momentum once the upper end of this
larger range breaks. We may see it attempt to do so still in the next
month or so, but otherwise it may rest for a longer base to congest
along the highs of the range before it gives way.
Other stocks to
watch:
Long: SGP in
several months to continue the move off lows on that time frame.
11/26/2007 Greif,
Inc. (GEF) engages in the manufacture and sale of
industrial packaging products, and containerboard and corrugated
products worldwide. Back in 2005-2006 GEF had a very strong
consolidation at its 52-week highs. In late 2006 it broke sharply out
of that trading range into the end of the year. Since that point,
however, it has fallen into yet another trading range at highs. Over
the next couple of months I'll be monitoring GEF for more gradual
corrections off the upper end of this range on light volume to begin
building a position. I am looking for a break higher in GEF in
mid-2008. This is a little premature at this point, but given the
current market, most setups on the long side are going to need to take
a bit more time to develop in order to qualify as much of anything
other than a swingtrade or several week hold. (Early trigger on Nov. 28.)
Other stocks to
watch:
Long: BFAM (early trigger on Nov.
28), FFG (early trigger on Nov. 28), SVNT (early trigger on Nov. 28), PCH (early trigger on Nov. 28), MGLN
Chunghwa Telecom
Co., Ltd. (CHT) gave an initial buy
trigger on 11/28/2007 over $19.47. It has highs thus far of $20.20
(+$0.73, +3.75%).
11/12/2007 Cintas
Corporation (CTAS) provides specialty products
and services, such as corporate identity uniforms, to various
businesses in the United States and Canada. CTAS recently broke lower
out of a descending triangle. I am expecting a move in CTAS into about
$20. The current price location is not ideal on a daily time frame, so
a bear flag or such on that chart would be worth watching for a lower
risk entry trigger. $39. is resistance. (Higher risk entries available
for those building a position already beginning at the $34 zone.)
Other stocks to
watch:
Long: ADM gave
an initial buy trigger on 11/12/2007 over $37. It has highs so
far
of $39 (+$2, +5.41%).
Short: WFC,
LLY
11/5/2007 Magellan Health
Services, Inc. (MGLN)
gave
an initial buy trigger on 11/5/2007 over $46.08. It has highs so
far
of $47.20 (+$1.12, +2.43%).
10/22/2007Comstock Resources,
Inc. (CRK) CRK is a
company that has been making new highs once again over the
past week, moving steadily higher on a daily uptrend. This makes it
less-than-ideal as a new position trade at this time. What does catch
my attention, however, is the fact that CRK broke free from a choppy
2-year base at highs over the last two months. Often an initial upsurge
will be followed by a retracement back into that earlier congestion
zone. It is this potential that I will be watching for in the next
couple of months to initiate a buy for a continuation. This pattern
will take some time to develop and any move to new highs without that
weekly-monthly correction would be on a swingtrade basis only, and not
a position trade. I will provide more details as this pattern
progresses. I have shown in green below how I am looking for this
pattern to play out.
To give you a strong example of what this pattern looks like when
played on, check out CHK. CRK is currently at a comparable weekly
placement in its pattern as compared to the same level that CHK was at
in June. CHK took until the end of August to correct before shooting
higher.
Other
stock to
watch:
Long: NDS Group (NNDS)
gave
an early buy trigger on 11/28/2007 over $56. It has highs so
far
of $60.46 (+$4.46, +7.96%). May still
correct more on the weekly time frame.
10/15/2007 Chunghwa Telecom
Co., Ltd. (CHT) gave an initial buy
trigger on 11/28/2007 over $19.47. It has highs thus far of $20.20
(+$0.73, +3.75%).
10/8/2007 TheStreet.com Inc.
(TSCM) gave an initial buy
trigger on 10/8/2007 over $13.44. It has highs thus far of $14.83
(+$1.39, +10.34%). It
now is likely to correct on the daily time frame and possibly the
weekly time frame. A gradual correction will provide a lower risk
opportunity to enter this position or add to it.
10/1/2007 Pain
Therapeutics, Inc. (PTIE)
gave an initial buy trigger on 10/1/2007 over $9.58. It has highs so
far
of $11.50 (+$2.16, +20.04%).
Initial targets hit.
9/24/2007 Martek Biosciences
Corp. (MATK)
gave an initial buy trigger on 9/24/2007 over $28.84. It has highs so
far
of $31.00 (+$1.75, +7.49%).
9/24/2007 Bard C R Inc. CR
(BCR)
gave an "early" buy trigger on 9/26/2007 over $87.46
(considered a high risk entry). It has highs so
far
of $89.96 (+$2.50, +2.86%). A lower risk
entry will be to wait for a pullback to buy on the weekly time frame.
9/10/2007 Cheesecake
Factory Inc. (CAKE)
gave an initial short trigger on 9/10/2007 under $24.07. It has lows so
far
of $21.45 (+$2.62, +10.61%). Can still be watched for a secondary setup
on the monthly time frame. CAKE is boucning on the daily
time frame as anticipated.
9/10/2007 Automatic
Data Processing Inc. (ADP)
gave a short
setup on 9/10/2007 under $44.61. It has lows of $43.91 (+$0.70, +1.6%).
9/10/2007 International
Rectifier Corp. (IRF)
gave a short
setup on 9/10/2007 under $33.23. It has lows of $30.47 (+$2.76, +8.31%).
9/10/2007 Newmont Mining Corp.
(NEM)
gave a buy
setup on 9/11/2007 over $44.79. It has highs of $56.35 (+$11.56,
+25.81%).
9/10/2007 Goldcorp Inc. New
(GG)
gave a buy
setup on 9/11/2007 over $26.44. It has highs of $38.11 (+$11.67,
+44.14%).
9/10/2007 Sysco Corp. (SYY)
gave a buy
setup on 9/18/2007 over $33.50. It has highs of $35.90 (+$2.40, +7.16%).
9/10/2007 Silicon Laborotories
Inc. (SLAB)
gave a buy
setup on 9/10/2007 over $38.17. It has highs of $45.15 (+$7.33,
+19.20%). Some trailing stops hit.
8/13/2007 Iron Mountain
Incorporated (IRM) gave a
continuation buy setup on 8/31/2007 at $28.14. It has highs so far of
$38.16 (+$10.02, +35.61%). Some trailing stops hit.
8/6/2007 Chesapeake Energy
Corporation (CHK) gave an initial
setup on
8/31/2007 over $32.06, but it can still have one more flush left in it
on the monthly time time. It has highs of $41.191
(+$9.13, +28.48%). Initial targets hit. Some
trailing stops hit.
5/21/2007 Saks Incorporated
(SKS) may or may not
have triggered, depending upon the entry strategy employed. If
triggered, the entry was over $22.80. A few trades went off at that
level to trip most stop buy orders. It has highs of $23.
5/14/2007 The Toronto-Dominion
Bank (TD) gave a buy setup on 5/14/2007 at $62.89. It has highs
so far of $77.63 (+$14.74, +23.44% move).
Targets hit. Some trailing stops hit.
5/7/2007 Universal Health
Services, Inc. (UHS) Two
potential entries to day: May 7th and
May 21st over the previous day's highs. Target: $90-$100. Tight
trailing stops hit. Long term stops under 2005 lows.
4/16/2007 Pepsico Inc. (PEP) gave buy setup on 4/16/2007 over $64.59.
Highs so far of $77.75 (+$13.16,
+20.37% move). Some trailing stops hit.
12/4/2006 Ross
Stores, Inc.
(ROST) gave a buy setup on 1/3/2007 over $31.15. It has highs
so far of $35.17 (+$4.55,
+14.61% move).
12/4/2006 ConocoPhillips (COP) gave a buy setup on 12/5/2006 over
$67.66. This was a higher risk setup due to the lack of a weekly base.
It reached highs of $90.84 (+$23.18, +34.26% move) so far. Some
trailing stops hit.
12/4/2006 Questar Corp. (STR) gave a buy setup on 12/4/2006 over $43.65. This was a
higher risk setup due to the lack of a weekly base. It reached
highs of $58.75 (+$15.10, +34.59% move) so far. Targets hit. Some
trailing stops hit.
12/4/2006 Chesapeake Energy
Corp. (CHK) gave a buy setup on 2/23/2007 at $30.08.
It reached highs of $41.19 (+$11.11, +36.93% move) so far. Initial targets hit.
Some
trailing stops hit.
11/6/2006 KT Corp. (KTC) gave
a
cont. buy setup on 11/7/2006 over $23.44. It hit highs of $29.89 (+$6.45, +27.52% move) so
far. Adjusted stop under $22.50 on remaining.
10/30/2006 AGCO Corp. (AG) gave a buy
setup on 11/1/2006 over $27.68. It hit highs of $70.83 (+$43.15, +155.89% move) so far. Targets hit. Some trailing stops hit.
9/18/2006 Henry
Jack & Assoc. Inc. (JKHY) gave a buy
setup on 9/20/2006 over $21.12. It hit highs of $29.24 (+$8.12, +38.45% move) so far. Initial target hit.
9/18/2006 Varian
Inc. (VARI) gave a buy
setup on 9/20/2006 over $48.75. It hit highs of $78.27 (+$29.52, +60.55% move) so far. Targets hit. Many trailing stops hit.
9/11/2006 Sigma Aldrich Corp.
(SIAL) gave a buy
setup on 9/15/2006 over $36.82. It hit highs of $54.39 (+$17.57, +51.68% move) so far. Targets hit. Some trailing stops hit.
8/7/2006
Stericycle,
Inc. (SRCL)
gave a buy setup on 9/20/2006 over $34.00. It
has highs of $61.24 (+$27.24, +80.12% move)..
Targets hit. Some trailing stops hit.
7/24/2006 Allegheny
Energy Inc. (AYE)
gave an initial watch list buy setup on 7/24/2006 at $39.89. It
has highs of $63.50 (+$23.61, +59.19% move).
The 20 week sma is
support. Some trailing stops
hit.
7/17/2006 Williams Cos. Inc.
(WMB)
gave a watch list buy setup on 7/24/2006 over $23.29. It
has highs of $37.74 (+$14.45, +62.04% move).
Some
trailing stops hit.
3/27/2006 Berkshire
Hathaway, Inc. (BRK.B) gave a breakout on 5/16/2006 over
$3000. It has highs of $5036.00 (+$2036, +67.87% move). -
Brandon
* DISCLAIMER:
Results are based upon best price hit before the position
was closed, or the stop if that hit first.
Note: Trading in commodities and securities may not be suitable for all
individuals. Consult your broker or other professional to determine
your suitability. The discussions provided by Trading From Main Street
are for educational purposes only and should not be taken as a
recommendation to buy or sell the referenced security. Past performance
is not indicative of future results.
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