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Synergy by TFMS
A Weekly Position Trading Newsletter for the Discerning Investor

http://www.tradingfrommainstreet.com
Editors: Toni Hansen & Brandon Fredrickson
May  9, 2005

Countrywide Financial Corporation (CFC) is a diversified financial service holding company engaged primarily in residential mortgage banking and related businesses (Reuters). It has been in a strong uptrend for the last couple of years. It has been creating a larger correction on the monthly charts in the form of a triangle that has been developing since last September. This is the third test of highs within that larger triangle and is looking like it will break even higher over the next year. Watch for an upside breakout on the daily charts for a trigger.

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- Toni



Updates: 

4/4/2005 - Fortune Brands Inc. (FO)
has set up a nice weekly bull flag. $83.30 was the open on 4/4. Highs of $89.86 hit so far. Trailing stop initiated.

3/21/2005 - IShares Tr Rusl 2000 Grow (IWO) short under $63.03 with a stop over $65. Low of $57.64 so far.

3/21/2005 -  BB&T Corp (BBT) short under $38.71 with a stop over $40.82. Low of $37.04 so far.

3/7/2005 - Allegheny Energy Inc. (AYE) One possible entry over $20.27, held higher risk. Lower risk would be to wait for a daily base and breakout. Stops under $18.25 on a weekly breakout setup. Highs $25.33 since the break out $20.27.  Trailing stop no lower than $20 and partials protected.

3/1/2005 - Express Scripts Inc. (ESRX) weekly cup with handle (watch stock - long) over $77.26. Stop under $73.52. High $92.30.

1/24/2005 Positions
: Energy stocks. Look for breakouts higher in the following:  CEG, EIX, ESV, BTU, FO, MEE. See the following utility sectors for other possibilities: $OSX, $OIX, $DXE, $MGO. All should have trailing stops since these indices are becoming very extended and frequently mentioned as the "hot sector to buy" in local media broadcasts.


1/18/2005 - Constellation Energy Group, Inc. (CEG) high $54.85 from $44.38 open on 1/18. Tight trailing stops initiated. Some hit.

1/3/2005 On the short side, Alcoa Inc. (AA) set up under $31.41 on a monthly Avalanche and daily bear flag. Position trade stop over $35. Swingtrade stop over $32. Lows of $28.01 (+$3.40,+10.82%) so far. Swingtrade closed. Small partials protected on a position trade. Position trade target of $25. Some trailing stops hit.

7/19/2005 - BP Plc Sponsored ADR (BP) (watch stock - long) Given from $55.75 zone. Highs $66.65 (+$10.90, +19.55% move). Hitting major price resistance, from 1999 highs. Trailing stops hit on remainder.

5/17/2004 - Williams Cos Ind Del (WMB)  (watch stock - long) Given from $11 zone. Highs $19.38 (+$8.38, +76.18% move). Trailing stop initiated. Some hit.

10/16/2003 - The Allstate Corporation (ALL) provided a monthly setup on October 16, 2003 over $40 with a stop under $34.48. It has reached a high of $57.96. Target was $50. Partials protected. $45.90 is 2001 highs. Those looking for only a several week hold will be out with a trailing stop.  Trailing stop initiated. - Toni


Positions Closed This Past Year:

Stock
Entry Date
Position Entry Price
Results
Additional Notes
Syneron Medical Ltd. (ELOS)
4/8/2005 long over $31.78 $34.31 (+$2.53, +8%) at highs. $30 zone as max trailing stop (-$1.78, -5.6% move)
Closed with trailing stop. Toni
IShares Tr DJ US Real Est (IYR)
3/21/2005 short under $115.54 $110.70 with stops of $118.72 hit on remainder
- Toni
American Tower Corp. Cl. A (AMT)  3/3/2005 long
over $18.72 $17.37 (-$1.35, -7.2% move)
- Toni
Coach, Inc. (COH)  3/2/2005 long over $56.78 $59.95 (+$3.17, +5.58% move) at highs. $55.40 zone as max trailing stop (-$1.38, -2.4% move) Closed with trailing stop. Toni
MBNA Corporation (KRB)  12/13/2004 long over $27.19 $29.01 ($1.82, +6.7% move) Trailing stops hit on remaining shares.
Initial stop under $25.74 on a weekly reverse head and shoulders
Select Comfort Corp. (SCSS)
12/6/2004 short under $15.45 (alternate entry using a weekly setup did not yield an entry trigger)
Stopped over $20.70 on higher risk setup.
Monthly bear flag under $15.45 on the higher risk setup. The main con listed was that the initial stop will be rather larger over $20.70, but I anticipated holding this stock for over a year. It was suggested to wait for a smaller weekly base for a lower risk entry and the ability to place a tighter stop. $14.75 lows.
ImClone Systems Incorporated (IMCL)
10/25/2004 short under $49.13 $36.71 (+$12.42,+25.28% move) Weekly breakdown. Those watching for swingtrades to trigger an entry might already have it from the Focus Letter under $49.13 zone. Toni
Old Dominion Fright Lines, Inc. (Nasdaq: ODFL) 10/18/2004 long above $30.25 $38.51 ($8.26, 27.31%) Position by Brandon.
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)  10/04/2004 long over $23.51 $32.26 (+$8.75, +37.22% move) - Toni
Fairchild Semiconductor International, Inc. (FCS)  9/20/2004 long
over $14
Stopped under $13.41 if entered early. Swingtrade target hit with $15.89 highs if waited for the longer ideal base.
Swingtrade, potential position. Triggered earlier than wanted and hence was higher risk at initial setup. - Toni
Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) 
8/16/2004 long over $60 $64.04 (+$4.04, +6.73% move)
- Toni
US Bancorp De Com New (USB) 7/19/2004 long $28.25 $31.65 (+$3.40, +12.04% move)
- Toni
The Pep Boys - Manny, Moe & Jack (PBY)  7/6/2004 short
under $25.10 $13.20 (+$11.90, +47.41% move) Weekly Avalanche. Stop over the 50 week sma of $25.50.  (Given on June 14th.) Partials taken in the $20-$21 zone. Toni.
SanDisk Corporation (SNDK)  6/19/2004 long over $25.75 (alternate entry was the trend channel along the 20 week sma breaks higher ($23.75 zone)) $31.96 with partials protected. Rest stopped with trailing stop.
- Toni
Engineered Support Systems, Inc. (EASI) 
6/16/2004
long
over $52.81
$60.02 (+$7.21, +13.65% move) Given by Toni. Those looking to hold several months would have hit trailing stops on any remaining shares. Given by Toni.
Expeditors Int'l of WA (EXPD) 5/24/2004 long $43.68-$44.15 $58.40 (+$14.72, +33.7% move) Given by Toni.
Zions Bancorporation (ZION)
5/17/2004 long $58.30 $69 (+$10.70, +18.35%)
Watch stock -Toni
CI (CINGA Corp.)
5/17/2004 long
$65.90 $69.46 (+$3.56, 5.4% move) hit on the swingtrade given in watch letter. Stop hit on position trade under last weekly pivot of $62.40.
- Toni
The Indices: QQQ, SPY, DIA  5/10/2004 short under $103.30 DIA, $36.34 QQQ or $36.63, $113.42 SPY $98.15 DIA, $32.34 QQQ, $106.59 SPY
Bear flag off the 50 week sma. Shorter term traders took gains into the first part of August. Trailing stops hit on those holding longer.
Industrial Services of America, Inc. (IDSA)
4/23/2004 long over $18.35 reached highs of $21.50 before stopping out under $14.25
Original notes: "You will want to use greater caution on this stock than other more well-known stocks I follow here because it will tend to have more volatility as a result of its lesser liquidity."  Toni
GWW (W.W. Grainger, Inc.) 4/6/2004 long over $49.02 (if using trigger on monthly charts) $58.90 (+9.88, +20.15% move) Trailing stops hit. Toni
Amer Pharmaceutical Ptnrs (APPX) 3/15/2004 long above $39.70 $49.19 (+$9.49, +23.9% move) Brandon
InterActiveCorp (IACI)

3/1/2004
long over $32.70 or over $33.75 stopped under $30.00 (-$2.70, -9% move) or did not set up
"...you can look for an intraday setup on this stock (such as over $32.70), or the weekly would trigger over $33.75. Support is at $30." Did not set up on the weekly chart, but did break the prior day's highs for $32.70. - Toni
Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)  2/23/2004 short under $57.14 $51.17 (+$5.97, +10.45% move) Initial stop was over $60. Trailing stops his on rest. Given by Toni.
LGND (Ligand Pharmaceuticals) 
2/11/2004 long over $15.72 $24.91 (+$9.19, 58.5% move)
Watch list. Monthly cup with handle. Toni
Activision, Inc. (ATVI)  2/9/2004 long over $13.17 $17.09 (+$3.92, +29.76% move) Stop under $12.13. An intraday setup could also have been used.
PET sMART, Inc. (PETM)
1/28/2004 short
under $23.82 stopped over $25 (-$1.18, -5% move)
Weekly Avalanche. $22.96 lows hit before reversing to stop. Toni
KLIC (Kulicke and Soffa Ind.)
1/27/2004 short under $13.97 $10.51 (+3.46, +24.77% move) Watch list weekly Avalanche. Toni
AWA (America West Holdings)
1/26/2004 short under $12.16 $7.92 (+$4.24, +34.87% move) Watch list weekly Avalanche. Toni
FLML (Flamel Tech. ADS) 1/26/2004 short under $27.20 $23.02 (+$4.18, +15.37% move)
Watch list weekly Avalanche. Toni
AFLAC Incorporated (AFL)
1/20/2004 long over $35.08 $42.60 (+$7.98, +22.75%) Alternative intraday setups or a break of the trend line could also have been used for entry. Trailing stops no lower than a break under $39 or the 20 week sma. Toni
Primus Telecom. (PRTL)
1/6/2004 long over $11.62 $13.38 (+$1.76, 15.15% move)
Watch list bull flag. Toni
Motorola, Inc. (MOT)
1/5/2004 long over $14.81 $18.90 (+$4.09, +27.62% move)
Watch list bull flag. Toni
Allergan, Inc. (AGN)  1/5/2004 long over $77.20 $90.21 (+$13.01, +16.85% move)
Watch list bull flag. Toni
AuthentiDate Holding Corp. (ADAT)  1/5/2004 long over $12.96 $18.69 (+$5.73, +44.21% move)
Watch list bull flag. Toni
ESS Tech., Inc. (ESST)  1/5/2004 long
over $17.50 $19.38 (+$1.88, +10.74% move)
Watch list bull flag. Toni
Microchop Tech. Inc. (MCHP)
1/5/2004
long
over $34.13.
$34.88. Trailing stops on 1/13/2004 under $34.14.
Weekly bull flag. Treated with tight trailing stops due to slow follow through and weaker performance. Toni.
FARO Technologies, Inc. (FARO) 1/05/2004 long over $26.35 $34.94 (+$8.59, +32.64% move) Target hit. Given by Toni.
Affiliated Computer Services, Inc. (ACS)
12/04/2003 long over $50.50 $57.96 (+$7.46, +14.77% move) Trailing stops on remaining shares under $48 for long term holders. (Toni)
Snap-On In. (SNA)  12/11/2003 or 12/18/2003
long
over $31
$34.13 (+$3.13, +10.10% move) Watch list stock. Toni. Phoenix.
Royal Dutch Petrol (RD)
12/08/2003 long over $46.65 $54.00 (+$7.35, +15.76% move) hit on 1/6/2004
Remaining closed with a trailing stop. Given by Toni.
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. (KKD)
11/17/2003 short
under $41.72 (or using intraday setups to lower risk. $36.02 ($4.70, +13.66%). Partials before earnings. Swingtrade closed before earnings (ahead of Nov. 21, 2003). Given by Brandon & Toni. Target zone was $37, which hit on 12/12/2003.
DENTSPLY International Inc. (XRAY) 11/14/2003 short
under $43.65 ($44.00 if using an intraday setup) $41.85 (+$1.80, +4.3% move), $45.23 (-$1.58, -3.78% move partials position trade
Given by Toni. Swingtraders were able to take some gains and position traders partials, but they stopped out of the rest.
ChevronTexaco Corporation (CVX)
11/13/2003 long
over $75 $87.64 (+$12.64, +16.85% move) Remaining closed with a trailing stop. Given by Toni.
Amazon.com (AMZN)
11/10/2003
short
under $54 $47 (+$7, +12.96% move)
Toni watch stock. Swingtraders closed on Nov. 18th.
Priceline.com Inc. (PCLN)
10/20/2003
short
under $30.25 $16.12 (+$14.13, +46.71% move)
Toni watch stock.
Biomet, Inc. (BMET)
10/20/2003
long
above $33.97
$38.02 (+$4.02, +11.92% move)
Toni watch stock.
Baxter International, Inc. (BAX)
10/22/2003 short
under $28.88 $26.21 (+$2.67, +9.25% move)
Toni watch stock.
CenturyTel, Inc. (CTL)
10/09/2003 long
over $35.85 $32.75 (-$3.10, -8.6% move)
It reached a high of $36.76 (+$0.91, +2.5%). Stop moved to under $32.75 and hit.
Nextel Communications (NXTP)
10/1/2003 long
over $8.06 $13.05 (+$4.99, +61.91% move)
Toni watch stock.
Nextel Communications (NXTL)
9/23/2003 long over $20.29 $29.37 (+$9.08, 44.75% move)
Toni watch stock.
Schlumberger Limited (SLB)
8/20/2003 long
over $48.61 $52.10 (+$3.49, +7.18% move) Trailing stop moved to under $48 on remaining shares (Toni).
Verizon (VZ) 8/25/2003 short
under $35 $31.10 (+$3.90, 11.14% move)
Given by Toni.
McKesson Corporation (MCK) 9/15/2003 long
over $34.50 for the daily setup and early entry on a weekly setup and over $35 on the weekly $36.27 (+$1.77, +5.13% move) A daily setup stop was under $33.88, or under $31.60 for a position trade.  Closed as a swingtrade near highs. Given by Toni.
Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) 9/29/2003 short under $52.40 $50.68 (+$1.74, 3.28% move)
Treated more as a swingtrade with position trade potential. Given by Brandon. Note: In the room stops were adjusted quickly as noted in the prior Position Trader and it was followed as a swingtrade with partials taken near lows on 9/30 and trailing stops hit on the rest.
IVAX Corporation (Amex - IVX)
8/11/2003 long
at $18.27 (over $18.20) $20.74 (+$2.47, +13.52% move) Trailing stop under $18.75 hit on remaining shares. Given by Toni.
Chubb Corporation (CB) 7/28/2003 long above $61
$69.29 (+$8.29, +13.59%) Remaining shares closed by trailing stop. Given by Toni.
American Power Conversion Corporation (APCC) 6/23/2003 long above $17.40 $27.42 (+$10.02, +57.59% move) Position by Brandon. 1/9/2004 initial trailing stops.
WebMD Corporation (HLTH)
5/2/2003
long
above $10.00
$12.49 (+$2.49, +24.9%)
Position by Brandon.
SPY
8/4/2003
short
under $98.25
stop loss over $101 (-$2.75, -2.78%) hit
Position by Brandon. Room traders had stops over $102 with an entry at $99.25 which is still open.
Clear Channel Communications Inc. (CCU)
5/12/2003
long
above $40.30
$43.50 (+$3.20, +7.94%) partials, trailing stop to under $39 (-$1.30 , -3.23%)
Target was $50-55 but hit its trailing stop on the rest of the position first. (Toni)
Icos Corporation (ICOS)
7/8/2003
long
above $40
$44.26 (+$4.26, +10.65%)
Entry was higher risk (Brandon)
Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV)
5/12/2003
short
under $36.18 (or $35 for more conservative entry)
adjusted stop under $37 (-0.82, -2.27%)
had reached lows of $33.68 (+$2.50, +6.91%) but stopped with a trailing stop (Toni)
The Gap, Inc. (GPS)
4/29/2003
long
above $16.75
$19.63 (+$2.88, +17.19%)
Initial target was $18.50.
Western Digital Corp. (WDC)
3/25/2003
long
above $8.20
$13.05 on 6/6/03 (+$4.85 , +59.15%).
Objective hit. (Toni)
Semi-Conductors Holders Trust (SMH)
1/13/2002
long
above $26
stop under $24.25 (-$1.75, -6.73%)
Given by Brandon.
Apollo Group, Inc. (APOL)
1/6/2003
long
above $45.83
$57.91 (+$12.08, +26.36%)
Given by Brandon.
CV Therapeutics, Inc. (CVTX)
12/30/2002
Short, bear flag
under $18.60
$15.73 (+$2.87, +15.43%)
lower risk setup on 1/23 under $19.50 (+$3.77, +19.33%), Given by Toni.
General Dynamics (GD)
12/16/2002
Short , Avalanche
under $77.20
$50.00 (+$27.50, +35.23%)
Partials were protected around $60, Given by Toni.


DISCLAIMER: Results are based upon best price hit before the position was closed, or the stop if that hit first. Note: Trading in commodities and securities may not be suitable for all individuals. Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability. The discussions provided by Trading From Main Street are for educational purposes only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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