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February 16, 2006
 


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MainStreet on Hotcomm

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Upcoming course dates:
March 20-24, 2006

Disclaimer:  Positions discussed for educational purposes only and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading in securities or commodities may not be suitable for all individuals.

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       Daily Editorial:
 

NASDAQ Rebounds Off Support While the Dow Stalls at Daily Resistance

Good morning! Wednesday got off to a slow start as the market awaited news of Fed chairman Bernanke's first address to Congress. Luckily, it didn't carry with it any surprises. While stating that more rate hikes may be necessary, he didn't stray far from Greenspan's final remarks. This created a strong little pop out of 10:00 ET. All three of the major indices (NASDAQ Comp., S&P500, and Dow Jones Ind. Ave.) managed to make new highs on the week.
 
http://tradingfrommainstreet.com/images/FocusLetter/20060216nas.gif

Due to a lot of overhead resistance, the rally didn't last. The Dow was still dealing with it's prior daily highs, while the NASDAQ hit its 20 day sma resistance. The pace of the upside led to a slower correction off the highs, but it was a steady move. The market continued to selloff until it hit the morning lows. From there they formed small 5 minute bear flag into the 5 minute 20 sma resistance and continued to move lower out of the 12:00 ET reversal period.

http://tradingfrommainstreet.com/images/FocusLetter/20060216sp.gif

With an average pace overall on the decline from morning highs, the market found itself once again dealing with range activity intraday. The mid-day action created a reverse head and shoulders pattern on the 5 minute charts, offering a pop up around 12:35 ET that continued after a short base broke and took the indices back to morning highs. The market became a lot more choppy as the indices moved into that resistance, however, creating higher risk for the final hour of the day.

http://tradingfrommainstreet.com/images/FocusLetter/20060216dow.gif

Going into Thursday the market is at a lot of intraday resistance, leaving room for a downside swing on the 15 minute charts. The pace has turned over enough on the Dow to help protect it from any truly vicious selling and the other two indices are also trying to pick up a little steam off lows. Their pace isn't strong enough to insulate them, and hence the overall market, from another pullback on the daily just yet though. I'd like to see the pace pick up more on the upside over the next two days for that to happen. The concern remains that many stocks still have a great deal of weekly resistance, but I still have no reason to go against this newest buying yet.



UPCOMING MENTORING OPPORTUNITIES:

To further you own knowledge of market activity and technical analysis, you may be interested in participating in one of my upcoming online seminars. Held March 20-24, I will be utilizing the Hotcomm platform which will allow participants the same opportunities as they would attending a class on-site. For more information, click on the journal image at the right hand side of my site at http://www.tonihansen.com or email me directly at toni@tradingfrommainstreet.com.

When asking those who attended my last class which aspects of my course were most beneficial, their responses were very similar:

"The concepts introduced such as pace and pace within patterns which were new to me and which I HAVEN'T SEEN ANYWHERE ELSE." - Larry
"I found everything in the course to be beneficial... It ranked as the best I have seen. Seriously, cant imagine any course being better and using it with Hotcomm probably even more so!" - Karl
"
The whole course covers everything you need to know about being a successful trader.... I have gone from an "unprofitable trader" to being a "PROFITABLE TRADER."  Your course made the difference...." - Jeff

 
 
 
 Economic Reports and Events:

Feb. 16: Building Permits for Jan (8:30 am), Export Prices ex-ag. for Jan (8:30 am), Housing Starts for Jan (8:30 am), Import Prices ex-oil for Jan (8:30 am), Initial Claims 02/11 (8:30 am), Philadelphia Fed for Feb. (12:00 pm)

Feb. 17: Core PPI for Jan (8:30 am), PPI for Jan (8:30 am), Mich. Sentiment-Prel. for Feb. (9:50 am)

 
   Earnings Announcements of Interest:
 
Only stocks with an average daily volume of 500K+ are listed. List may not be complete so be sure to always check your stock's earnings date before holding a position overnight. (A) = Earnings after the close, (B) = Earnings before the open, (?) = Earnings time not specified at the time of this writing

Feb. 16: ABB (B), AAP (B), AEIS (A), AMMD (A), BHI (B), BRCD (A), COG (A), DELL (A), GLBL (B), GT (B), GES (?), ICGE (B), LCP (?), LEH (B), LEXR (A), LTR (B), LTXX (A9, MRH (A), NTGR (A), NU (?), NPSP (?), NVDA (?), ONXX (B), PLD (B), PSYS (A), RYI (A), SAPE (A), SIMG (A), TGT (?), TKLC (B), FAF (B), UBB (?), WPI (A), XMSR (B)

Feb. 17: APPX (?), CPB (?), PBR (A), PCG (?), RSH (?), SIRI (B)


Note: All economic numbers and earnings reports are in lines with those compiled by Yahoo Finance. Occasionally changes will occur that are made after the posting of this column.

 

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