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MainStreet
on Hotcomm
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Upcoming course dates:
February 13-17, 2006
March 20-24, 2006
Disclaimer: Positions discussed for
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and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading in
securities or commodities may not be suitable for all individuals.
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FOR THIS WEEK'S POSITION TRADE NEWSLETTER
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Daily
Editorial: |
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Indices Continue to Move Steadily Lower
Good morning! The
market saw a fairly active session on Tuesday, in part due to strong
earnings from Disney (DIS) and declining crude-oil prices. Those
weren't enough to hold up the market overall, however, and after some
initial buying for the first 15-30 minutes of the day, the sellers
again took the reins.
The market ran into its first main support
level with the 10:45 ET reversal period. The action was about average
and took the indices back into the opening range. By taking back more
than half the losses on the day, it pushed the market into a trading
range over noon and set up the prior lows to serve as support once
more. These hit around 12:15 ET. At that point the market again
corrected. This time around it held the lows of the day, however,
forming a base and a larger reverse cup with handle on the 5 and 15
minute charts. That short pattern triggered at about the 13:00 ET
reversal period and took the S&P500, Dow Jones Ind. Ave. and NASDAQ
Composite all to new intraday lows.
With the stronger daily support in the NASDAQ
at that 100 day sma that we have been following, that index had the
most difficult time making new lows. The break was relatively minor and
that daily support continued to hold. The S&P500 and Dow had little
to hold them up, so they were able to put in equal move selloffs as
compared to the prior 5 minute drops off 11:30 ET highs on the 5 minute
charts. The selling intraday stalled at that equal move support and the
stronger test of the daily NASDAQ support.
Initially the market moved slowly off the early afternoon lows. A pop
just prior to 14:30 ET back into the 15 minute 20 sma resistance helped
change the pace in the market. While the indices were still favoring a
bear flag on the 5 minute charts, that puncture of the 5 minute 20 sma
meant higher odds that new lows would not be very significant and that
a 2B, a form of double bottom with a slightly lower low, would be more
likely. This occurred in both the S&P500 and Dow, but the stronger
support on the NASDAQ helped it hold the earlier lows.
Heading into Wednesday the NASDAQ again looks like it will try to
bounce a bit into the open after rounding off at lows intraday on
Tuesday along the 100 day sma. The S&P500 and Dow still have more
room to move lower before they hit stronger support, however, so I
would found mainly on intraday activity for new positions with
swingtrades still favoring moves lower overall.
UPCOMING
MENTORING OPPORTUNITIES:
To further you own knowledge of market activity and technical analysis,
you may be interested in participating in one of my upcoming online
seminars. Held Feb. 13-17th and March 20-24, I will be utilizing the
Hotcomm platform which will allow participants the same opportunities
as they would attending a class on-site. For more information, click on
the journal image at the right hand side of my site at http://www.tonihansen.com or
email me directly at toni@tradingfrommainstreet.com.
When asking those who attended my last class which aspects of my course
were most beneficial, their responses were very similar:
"The concepts introduced
such as pace and pace within patterns which were new to me and which I
HAVEN'T SEEN ANYWHERE ELSE." - Larry
"I found
everything in the course to be beneficial... It ranked as the best I
have seen. Seriously, cant imagine any course being
better and using it with Hotcomm probably even more so!" - Karl
"The whole course covers everything you need to know
about being a successful trader.... I have gone from an
"unprofitable trader" to being a "PROFITABLE TRADER." Your course
made the difference...." - Jeff
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Economic
Reports and
Events:
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Feb. 08:
Crude Inventories 02/03 (10:30 am)
Feb. 09:
Initial Claims 02/04 (8:30 am), Wholesale Inventories for Dec (10:00 am)
Feb. 10:
Trade Balance for Dec (8:30 am), Treasury Budget for Jan (2:00 pm)
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Earnings
Announcements of Interest: |
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Only stocks with an
average daily volume of 500K+ are
listed. List may not be complete so be sure to always check your
stock's earnings date before holding a position overnight. (A) =
Earnings after the close, (B) = Earnings before the open,
(?) = Earnings time not specified at the time of this writing
Feb. 08:
AKAM (?), ALVR (B), AMKR (A), APPB (A), RMK (B), ARI (A), ARRS (A), AUO
(?), AVNX (A), ACLS (A), CI (?), DF (B), DO (?), EDMC (A), EDS (A),
ENER (A), ERES (A), FNF (A), FLIR (B), GGB (B), GSK (07:00 am ET), GRP
(B), IACI (B), MVK (A), MOGN (?), MPS (B), NFG (A), NWS (A), PEP (B),
PXD (B), PRU (A), QSFT (?), RAI (?), SBGI (B), SNWL (A), DTV (B), WFMI
(A), WSH (A), XTO (?)
Feb 09: AET
(B), AG (?), AW (A), AMLN (A), ADI (A), AOC (A), AIV (B), AIZ (B), ALV
(06:00 am ET), AN (B), BWA (?), BORL (?), BYD (A), BG (B), CPST (A),
CEM (A), CCE (B), CTSH (B), ELNK (07:00 am ET), HGSI (B), LGF (A), MAR
(B), MBI (B), MFE (?), MET (A), NFX (B), NFI (A), OSUR (A), PNRA (A),
SKYW (?), TELK (?), TRA (?), TQNT (A), TRZ (B), UNTD (A), UTSI (A)
Feb 10: AU
(?), ACI (B), CHB (B), CBB (B), CVH (?), ECL (B), IIJI (?), VC (B)
Note: All economic numbers
and earnings reports are in lines with those compiled by Yahoo Finance.
Occasionally changes will occur that are made after the posting of this
column.
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