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February 8, 2006
 


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MainStreet on Hotcomm

CLICK HERE to learn how you can participate in Toni's upcoming mentoring program, live on Hotcomm! 

Upcoming course dates:
February 13-17, 2006
March 20-24, 2006

Disclaimer:  Positions discussed for educational purposes only and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading in securities or commodities may not be suitable for all individuals.

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       Daily Editorial:
 

Indices Continue to Move Steadily Lower

Good morning! The market saw a fairly active session on Tuesday, in part due to strong earnings from Disney (DIS) and declining crude-oil prices. Those weren't enough to hold up the market overall, however, and after some initial buying for the first 15-30 minutes of the day, the sellers again took the reins.
 
http://tradingfrommainstreet.com/images/FocusLetter/20060208nas.gif

The market ran into its first main support level with the 10:45 ET reversal period. The action was about average and took the indices back into the opening range. By taking back more than half the losses on the day, it pushed the market into a trading range over noon and set up the prior lows to serve as support once more.  These hit around 12:15 ET. At that point the market again corrected. This time around it held the lows of the day, however, forming a base and a larger reverse cup with handle on the 5 and 15 minute charts. That short pattern triggered at about the 13:00 ET reversal period and took the S&P500, Dow Jones Ind. Ave. and NASDAQ Composite all to new intraday lows.

http://tradingfrommainstreet.com/images/FocusLetter/20060208sp.gif

With the stronger daily support in the NASDAQ at that 100 day sma that we have been following, that index had the most difficult time making new lows. The break was relatively minor and that daily support continued to hold. The S&P500 and Dow had little to hold them up, so they were able to put in equal move selloffs as compared to the prior 5 minute drops off 11:30 ET highs on the 5 minute charts. The selling intraday stalled at that equal move support and the stronger test of the daily NASDAQ support.

http://tradingfrommainstreet.com/images/FocusLetter/20060208dow.gif

Initially the market moved slowly off the early afternoon lows. A pop just prior to 14:30 ET back into the 15 minute 20 sma resistance helped change the pace in the market. While the indices were still favoring a bear flag on the 5 minute charts, that puncture of the 5 minute 20 sma meant higher odds that new lows would not be very significant and that a 2B, a form of double bottom with a slightly lower low, would be more likely. This occurred in both the S&P500 and Dow, but the stronger support on the NASDAQ helped it hold the earlier lows.

Heading into Wednesday the NASDAQ again looks like it will try to bounce a bit into the open after rounding off at lows intraday on Tuesday along the 100 day sma. The S&P500 and Dow still have more room to move lower before they hit stronger support, however, so I would found mainly on intraday activity for new positions with swingtrades still favoring moves lower overall.

UPCOMING MENTORING OPPORTUNITIES:

To further you own knowledge of market activity and technical analysis, you may be interested in participating in one of my upcoming online seminars. Held Feb. 13-17th and March 20-24, I will be utilizing the Hotcomm platform which will allow participants the same opportunities as they would attending a class on-site. For more information, click on the journal image at the right hand side of my site at http://www.tonihansen.com or email me directly at toni@tradingfrommainstreet.com.

When asking those who attended my last class which aspects of my course were most beneficial, their responses were very similar:

"The concepts introduced such as pace and pace within patterns which were new to me and which I HAVEN'T SEEN ANYWHERE ELSE." - Larry
"I found everything in the course to be beneficial... It ranked as the best I have seen. Seriously, cant imagine any course being better and using it with Hotcomm probably even more so!" - Karl
"
The whole course covers everything you need to know about being a successful trader.... I have gone from an "unprofitable trader" to being a "PROFITABLE TRADER."  Your course made the difference...." - Jeff

 
 
 
 Economic Reports and Events:

Feb. 08: Crude Inventories 02/03 (10:30 am)

Feb. 09: Initial Claims 02/04 (8:30 am), Wholesale Inventories for Dec (10:00 am)

Feb. 10: Trade Balance for Dec (8:30 am), Treasury Budget for Jan (2:00 pm)

 
   Earnings Announcements of Interest:
 
Only stocks with an average daily volume of 500K+ are listed. List may not be complete so be sure to always check your stock's earnings date before holding a position overnight. (A) = Earnings after the close, (B) = Earnings before the open, (?) = Earnings time not specified at the time of this writing

Feb. 08: AKAM (?), ALVR (B), AMKR (A), APPB (A), RMK (B), ARI (A), ARRS (A), AUO (?), AVNX (A), ACLS (A), CI (?), DF (B), DO (?), EDMC (A), EDS (A), ENER (A), ERES (A), FNF (A), FLIR (B), GGB (B), GSK (07:00 am ET), GRP (B), IACI (B), MVK (A), MOGN (?), MPS (B), NFG (A), NWS (A), PEP (B), PXD (B), PRU (A), QSFT (?), RAI (?), SBGI (B), SNWL (A), DTV (B), WFMI (A), WSH (A), XTO (?)

Feb 09: AET (B), AG (?), AW (A), AMLN (A), ADI (A), AOC (A), AIV (B), AIZ (B), ALV (06:00 am ET), AN (B), BWA (?), BORL (?), BYD (A), BG (B), CPST (A), CEM (A), CCE (B), CTSH (B), ELNK (07:00 am ET), HGSI (B), LGF (A), MAR (B), MBI (B), MFE (?), MET (A), NFX (B), NFI (A), OSUR (A), PNRA (A), SKYW (?), TELK (?), TRA (?), TQNT (A), TRZ (B), UNTD (A), UTSI (A)

Feb 10: AU (?), ACI (B), CHB (B), CBB (B), CVH (?), ECL (B), IIJI (?), VC (B)


Note: All economic numbers and earnings reports are in lines with those compiled by Yahoo Finance. Occasionally changes will occur that are made after the posting of this column.

 

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